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The 38th ESReDA Seminar and 3rd joint ESReDA/ESRA seminar on Advanced Maintenance Modelling will take place on 4-5th May, 2010, hosted by the Regional Committee of the Hungarian Academy of Science, Pecs, Hungary (http://www.pte.hu/pab/).

 

Seminar theme

The failure of many systems results in inconvenience and possible loss of revenue from its associated unavailability.  When the system is safety critical the consequence of failure can be catastrophic with loss of life.  Maintenance is the activity undertaken to control the state of the asset and aims where possible to prevent failures or reduce the consequential downtime should they occur.  Maintenance activities can be either proactive or reactive and include:  preventive maintenance (reducing the probability of failure) by servicing and modification of the system or its components; and corrective maintenance (rectifying failures) by component repair or replacement.

 

Maintenance planning will determine how the resources of personnel, spares and specialist equipment will be utilized to control the state of the system and its components.  The maintenance management scheme establishes how the components and subsystems will be maintained, balancing the effort distributed between preventive and corrective activities within the limitations imposed on the resources.

The selection of the maintenance action and when it is performed can control the degradation processes associated with a system in order to deliver an acceptable or even optimal level of performance.

An effective and efficient maintenance scheme often plays a vital role in a system reaching to required levels of performance, particularly as the asset ages.  Modelling is the process by which such a maintenance scheme can be established.  This seminar looks at the current state-of-the-art in maintenance modelling and the developments that have taken place which are required to evaluate changing face of maintenance practices.

Topics (include , but are not limited to) :
- Modelling the influence of maintenance on the reliability and availability performance of systems.
- Modelling the degradation of systems and components to identify appropriate maintenance actions.
- System health monitoring.
- Fault detection and failure identification methods.
- Component prognostics (determining when to replace/ repair components by monitoring their condition)
- Systems prognostics (predicting the system reliability when component failure or deterioration conditions are known).
- Planning of inspection and testing schedules (eg risk based, reliability based).
- Optimal maintenance schemes.
- Industrial case studies


Seminar Organisation
The seminar is jointly organised by ESReDA and ESRA

Chairman: Henrik Kortner, (ESReDA President/DNV, Norway)


Technical program committee
John Andrews (University of Nottingham, UK) 
Aitor Arnaiz (Tekniker, Spain)
Piero Baraldi (Politechnico Di Milano, Italy)
Lisa Bartlett (Loughborough University, UK)
Christophe Berenguer (University de Technologie de Troyes, France)
Mohamed Eid (CEA, France)
Mitra Fouladirad (University de Technologie de Troyes, France)
Adel Ghobbar (TU Delft, Netherlands)
Rafael Gouriveau (Femto-st, France)
Benoit Iung (Nancy University, France)
André Lannoy (IMdR, France)
Eric Leveret (Nancy University, France)
Darren Prescott (Loughborough University, UK)
Sipke van Manen (Rijkswaterstaat, Netherlands)
Cyp van Rijn (University of Applied Sciences Utrecht, Netherlands)
Enrico Zio (Politechnico Di Milano, Italy)

Organising committee
Mohamed Eid (CEA, France)
John Andrews (University of Nottingham, UK)

 

Relevent Dates

Board of Directors      :           May 3rd, 2010, 14:00-16:30

Date of Seminar          :           May 4th – 5th , 2010

General Assembly       :           4th May 2010 (18:00-19:00)

Gala Dinner                 :           4th May 2010 (20:00)

Visit of Paks NPP*     :           6th May 2010

 

 

*NPP: Nuclear Power Plant


Seminar Place:
The seminar will be held in one of the prestigious Palace of the Regional Committee of the Hungarian Academy of Science. To have more details about the venue, please, visit the site: http://www.pte.hu/pab/ .

The exact address is:

Magyar Tudomanyos Akademia

Pecsi Teruleti Bizottsaga

H-7624 Pecs, Jurisics M. u.44

 

Hotels


The seminar local organiser proposes the following 2 hotels. Reservations should be done directly with the hotels. On reservation, please, remember to mention the event “the 38th ESReDA Seminar”.
The seminar is held in the same period as some local culture festivities. We advise to book your rooms as early as possible.

HOTEL MILLENNIUM
Kálvária u. 58.
H-7625 Pécs
Phone: +36 (72) 512-220, +36 (72) 512-222
Fax: +36 (72) 512-223

E-mail: This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it
http://www.hotelmillennium.hu/

 


CENTRAL HOTEL
Hotel Central
Bajcsy Zsilinszky Street 7.
7621 Pécs

Phone: 72/525-602
Fax: 72/525-603
E-mail : This e-mail address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it
http://www.centralpanzio.hu/

 

 

Tuesday 4 May 2010

 

9.00 – 9.30 Registration

9.30 – 10.00 Welcome to participants

Henrik Kortner

John Andrews

VIP from Paks’ NPP

 

10.00 – 11.00 Session 1 Maintenance in the Energy Industries I

Chair: John Andrews

 

10.00-10.30 Prognosis of the natural-gas pressure-regulating

installation reliability

Marko Gerbec

 

10.30 – 11.00 Parameter disaggregation for high dimensional time

series data on the example of a gas turbine

Sebastian Feller, Roger Chevalier and Salah-Eddine

Morsili

 

11.00 – 11.30 Coffee Break

 

11.30- 12.30 Session 2 Risk Management

Chair: Christophe Bérenguer

 

11.30 – 12.00 Maintenance planning system for optimized risk

management of civil engineering infrastructures

Jérôme Boéro, Yvan Billard, Bruno Capra and Franck

Schoefs

 

12.00 – 12.30 NPSAG/NKS: Evaluation of the technical specifications

using PSA – development of a guidance document

Ola Bäckström, Vidar Hedtjärn Swaling and Anna

Häggström

 

12.30 – 14.00 LUNCH

 

12 April 2010 7/9

14.00 – 15.30 Session 3 Maintenance Modelling in the

Aerospace Industry

Chair: Mohamed Eid

 

14.00 - 14.30 Modelling maintenance which reduces service

disruption

Darren Prescott and John Andrews

 

14.30 – 15.00 Aircraft mission reliability modelling with maintenance

free operating periods

Sam Chew, Sarah Dunnett and John Andrews

15.00 – 15.30 Resource modelling for support and service contracts

Paul Baguley, Anupam Srivastava, Paul Tasker and

Rajkumar Roy

 

15.30 – 16.00 Coffee Break

 

16.00 – 17.30 Session 4 Maintenance Modelling Methods I

Chair: Anne Barros

 

16.00 - 16.30 StatAvaries : An original multinet decision support tool

for evaluating rail maintenance strategies

Olivier Francois, Laurent Bouillaut and Stephane Dubois

 

16.30 – 17.00 An hybrid Monte Carlo and fuzzy logic method for

maintenance modelling

P. Baraldi, M. Compare, A. Despujols, G. Rossetti and

E. Zio

 

17.00 - 17.30 Practical application of an analytic hierarchy process for

the improvement of the warranty management

Vicente González Díaz, Juan Gómez Fernández and

Adolfo Crespo Márquez

 

End of Sessions for the first day

 

18.00 – 19.00 ESReDA General Assembly

19.30 Gala Dinner

12 April 2010 8/9

 

Wednesday 5 May 2010

 

9.00 – 10.30 Session 5 Maintenance Modelling Methods II

Chair: Rafael Gouriveau

 

9.00 – 9.30 Assessment of an imperfect maintenance policy on a

finite time span

Amélie Ponchet, Mitra Fouladirad and Antoine Grall

 

9.30-10.00 Condition-based maintenance and environmental

Parameters

Xuejing Zhao, Mitra Fouladirad and Christophe

Bérenguer

 

10.00 – 10.30 A dynamic maintenance policy based on prognostic for

a single-unit system under indirect condition

monitoring

Khac Tuan Huynh, Anne Barros and Christophe

Bérenguer

 

10.30 – 11.00 Coffee Break

 

11.00- 12.30 Session 6 Degradation Processes and Service

Life Prediction

Chair: Henrik Kortner

 

11.00 - 11.30 From real data to remaining useful life estimation: an

approach combining neuro-fuzzy predictions and

evidential Markovian classifications

Rafael Gouriveau and Emmanuel Ramasso

 

11.30 – 12.00 Advanced maintenance modelling based on physical

failure mechanisms

Tiedo Tinga

 

12.00 – 12.30 E-M algorithm to identify missing causes of failures for

repairable systems with a burn-in period

Isha Dewan and Yann Dijoux

 

12.30 – 14.00 LUNCH

 

12 April 2010 9/9

14.00 – 15.30 Session 7 Factors in Decision Making/

Decision Making Processes

Chair: Darren Prescott

 

14.00 - 14.30 The role of maintenance strategies in inter-corporate

cooperation

Ferenc Bognar

 

14.30 – 15.00 Reliability engineering for engineers, how reliable in

practice?

Cyp van Rijn

 

15.00 – 15.30 Treating measurement uncertainty in maintenance

related decisions

Csaba Hegedűs and Zsolt Tibor Kosztyán

 

15.30 – 16.00 Coffee Break

 

16.00 – 17.00 Session 8 Maintenance Optimisation

Chair: Mitra Fouladirad

 

16.00 - 16.30 Data from maintenance for maintenance optimization

M Demichela and A Paradiso

16.30 – 17.00 Grouping of maintenance and optimization by using

genetic algorithm

Zafar Hameed and Jørn Vatn

 

17.00 – 17.15 Closing remarks

 

Seminar Closure

 

 

A draft seminar programme may be downloaded here.

 

 
 
 
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